Statistical analysis and modeling of Red Tide blooms

Abstract

The present study considers the random phenomenon that is Red Tide as found around the State of Florida. Among the many organism that make up Red Tide, Karenia Brevis is the organism commonly associated with an outbreak, the probability distribution which best describes the behavior of Karenia Brevis is the Weibull probability distribution. There are regional differences as well as regional relationships including delay effects. Recursion rates indicate a logistic growth model; however, additional information is needed before research can determine the effects of runoff on Red Tide blooms.